Why Harry Maguire’s Last 18 Game Win Rate Statistic is Misleading

Manchester United captain Harry Maguire recently cited his “ridiculously high” win rate in his last 18 appearances as evidence he should remain a starter. This was further pushed on Sky last night after Man Utd’s 2-1 win over Sheffield United. However, upon closer inspection, Maguire’s win percentage statistic is misleading and does not tell the whole story of his recent performances.

While it’s true Maguire has a high win rate of around 78% in those 18 games, as one report notes , simply citing an overall team statistic does not prove an individual player’s quality or impact. United’s results are dependent on the performances of 10 other players, as well as management decisions around tactics and selection.

Harry Maguire Games Started Under Ten Hag Stats

When analysing his performances as a starter under Ten Hag, we can come to the following conclusions.

  • 19 Games Started
  • 9 Cup Games
  • 10 Premier League Games
  • 15 Wins
  • 4 Losses
  • 78.95% Win Rate
  • Plays against lower level teams.

Maguire’s actual displays in those matches have been inconsistent, with some sub-par outings. According to this analysis,  he was at fault for goals conceded on multiple occasions. Individual defensive errors, lapses in concentration, and a lack of pace have seen Maguire criticized by fans and experts.

A win rate statistic also fails to account for the strength of opposition faced. Many of United’s wins in that period came against weaker sides in the Premier League rather than top teams in Europe. It’s easier to accrue wins against lesser opponents.

In the end, one abstract statistic does not override the eye test and growing concerns about Maguire’s recent displays. A player’s quality and form should not be judged solely based on team results over a short period. Maguire will need to improve his individual performances consistently to justify his place in the starting XI.

In conclusion, while a high win rate seems impressive on paper, Maguire’s citation of this statistic is an oversimplification that ignores relevant context. His place in the team should be evaluated based on his actual displays, not one misleading metric. Whilst it is good to see him starting to get more game time under Ten Hag due to injuries to Varane and Martinez, we should stop building up players for the eventual fall.

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